Atlético vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATM
54%
21%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ATM
2 - 2
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATM
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ATM
2 - 1
SEV
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATM
36%
23%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
RJA
2 - 2
FCB
23%
23%
55%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SEV
5 - 2
RJA
81%
11%
8%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
DEP
6 - 0
RJA
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
RJA
2 - 2
OVI
58%
21%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
RAC
3 - 1
RJA
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |