Atlético vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATM
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 0
ATM
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
HSV
3 - 0
ATM
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
ATM
1 - 0
UDL
76%
15%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 1
HSV
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
RAC
2 - 1
UDL
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
BET
2 - 1
RAC
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
RAC
2 - 1
ELC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
RAC
2 - 1
RSO
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |