Atlético vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
EIN
1 - 0
ATM
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
ATM
1 - 0
SEV
80%
14%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
GRA
3 - 4
ATM
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
ATM
1 - 2
EIN
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ATM
3 - 0
FCB
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
RAC
1 - 1
GRA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
FCB
2 - 1
RAC
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATH
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SLA
3 - 0
RAC
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
RAC
2 - 1
ELC
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |