Atlético vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.2%
10%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
FCB
6 - 1
ATM
79%
12%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ATM
1 - 0
SPO
78%
12%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ATM
1 - 3
MAL
82%
10%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
OVI
5 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
DEP
5 - 1
ATM
38%
23%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 0
MAL
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
OVI
1 - 3
RAC
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
RAC
3 - 1
DEP
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ATH
5 - 0
RAC
85%
9%
6%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
VAD
1 - 2
RAC
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |