Atlético vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
6.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
CEL
0 - 3
ATM
47%
21%
32%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ATM
3 - 2
RMA
73%
14%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ZAR
0 - 5
ATM
28%
22%
50%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATM
34%
23%
43%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
RAC
3 - 1
ATH
41%
22%
37%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ESP
4 - 1
RAC
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
RAC
4 - 0
CAT
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
UDL
1 - 1
RAC
47%
21%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
RAC
3 - 1
SEV
45%
23%
33%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |