Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 8-6
Atlético vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1935 |
RAC
2 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
ATM
4 - 3
RAC
57%
19%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
ATM
3 - 1
ARE
73%
15%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1935 |
ARE
0 - 3
ATM
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
ATH
5 - 2
ATM
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1935 |
RAC
2 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
ATM
4 - 3
RAC
57%
19%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
RAC
0 - 5
BET
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
ARE
0 - 1
RAC
33%
21%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
RAC
2 - 3
FCB
48%
20%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |