Atlético vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.9%
12.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
ATM
4 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 2
ATM
46%
20%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1929 |
ATM
0 - 3
RSO
48%
20%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
ARE
2 - 3
ATM
45%
22%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
RAC
1 - 3
RMA
35%
23%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
3 - 0
RAC
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
RAC
0 - 4
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1929 |
RUN
3 - 1
RAC
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1929 |
RAC
0 - 2
FCB
31%
23%
46%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |