Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-0
Atlético vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 3
ATM
47%
23%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
BET
1 - 1
ATM
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1945 |
ATM
1 - 1
GRA
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
SDC
2 - 0
RCF
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
RCF
4 - 2
JFC
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RCF
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
RCF
1 - 1
RSO
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
RCF
2 - 1
ALC
49%
23%
29%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |