Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-2
Atlético vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
ATM
3 - 0
OSA
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
SEV
0 - 1
ATM
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ATM
1 - 0
ESP
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
ATM
1 - 0
SLA
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
ATM
3 - 0
OSA
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
OSA
4 - 2
FCB
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
SLA
3 - 1
OSA
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
ZAR
2 - 0
OSA
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
OSA
2 - 0
CAD
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |