Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-1
Atlético vs Ontinyent CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1965 |
ONT
0 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
ATM
2 - 3
ZAR
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATM
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
ATM
5 - 1
OVI
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ELC
1 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
36%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1965 |
ONT
0 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
ONT
2 - 2
MAL
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
CON
1 - 0
ONT
64%
20%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
ONT
1 - 1
CAD
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
GRA
4 - 0
ONT
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |