Atlético vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ATM
0 - 1
SEV
42%
26%
32%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
GET
1 - 2
ATM
42%
27%
31%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ATM
4 - 0
REC
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 3
ATM
46%
27%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
31%
29%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LMU
1 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 0
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
38%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GIR
1 - 1
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |