Champions League Last 16
Global 5-1
Atlético vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATM
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 2
RMA
19%
21%
60%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
OSA
3 - 0
ATM
16%
25%
59%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATM
31%
27%
43%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
3 - 0
VAD
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 0
ACM
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 2
JUV
32%
27%
42%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACM
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATM
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |