Atlético vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATM
39%
27%
35%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
23%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 0
SEV
62%
21%
17%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 1
ATM
17%
25%
57%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MFF
1 - 2
ELF
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AIK
2 - 3
MFF
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
MFF
2 - 0
OLP
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MFF
4 - 1
MJÄ
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 1
MFF
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |