Atlético vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 0
ATM
42%
26%
33%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATM
26%
26%
48%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 5
ATM
14%
24%
62%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 2
ATM
9%
22%
69%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LEG
0 - 1
ATM
12%
23%
65%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 3
UDL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
MAL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 1
EIB
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 0
MAL
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |