Atlético vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
BEO
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
BEO
1 - 3
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
ATM
0 - 2
ZLI
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
MAL
2 - 3
BET
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 1
MAL
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAL
1 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MLL
2 - 1
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAL
1 - 1
DEP
32%
26%
43%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |