Atlético vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VAD
3 - 1
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
4 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATM
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 0
OSA
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ALB
0 - 1
MAL
29%
29%
42%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 0
SEV
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
MAL
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 1
ZAR
55%
24%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |