Atlético vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAD
73%
19%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
LOK
1 - 1
ATM
20%
26%
55%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
OSA
1 - 3
ATM
24%
26%
51%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ATM
3 - 2
RBS
38%
25%
38%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
LOK
1 - 0
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
DIN
5 - 1
LOK
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
LOK
1 - 1
ATM
20%
26%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SOC
2 - 1
LOK
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
LOK
1 - 2
BYM
3%
9%
88%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | -1 |