Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
Atlético vs RFC Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ATM
3 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATH
68%
18%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
LEV
0 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ATM
2 - 0
MUR
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
LIE
0 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
29%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
LIE
1 - 1
TIL
64%
21%
16%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ANT
0 - 3
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
LIE
0 - 0
DCM
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
LIE
6 - 0
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |