Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Atlético vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
RSO
69%
20%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 2
ATM
19%
26%
56%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
63%
21%
16%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 0
LEV
67%
20%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
EVE
4 - 2
LEI
57%
22%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 0
SUN
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 0
STO
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WHU
2 - 3
LEI
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 0
SEV
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |