Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-2
Atlético vs KSV Waregem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
ATM
0 - 1
FCB
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
UDL
2 - 1
ATM
45%
27%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1968 |
FCB
3 - 1
ATM
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
VCF
2 - 3
ATM
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Waregem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
KSV
3 - 1
BRU
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
CHA
2 - 1
KSV
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
KSV
1 - 4
KVM
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
LIE
0 - 5
KSV
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
KSV
4 - 1
OLY
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |