Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Atlético vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
ATM
3 - 0
ESP
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ELC
0 - 4
ATM
28%
30%
43%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
ATM
4 - 1
SAB
79%
14%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1970 |
ZAG
0 - 2
WAR
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
WAR
3 - 1
WIS
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
GÓR
3 - 1
WAR
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
WAR
2 - 0
SDL
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
SDL
1 - 0
WAR
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |