Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-2
Atlético vs L´Hospitalet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20%
2-0
19.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.4%
10%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
10%
2.1%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ELC
0 - 2
ATM
19%
26%
55%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
HOS
0 - 3
ATM
11%
21%
68%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
DEP
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HOS
2 - 0
ELD
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 1
HOS
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
HOS
0 - 3
ATM
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 91 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
HOS
2 - 2
ZAR
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
RCD
3 - 2
HOS
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |