Atlético vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
GRA
0 - 1
ATM
32%
23%
45%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ATM
4 - 4
CAS
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
RSO
1 - 2
ATM
36%
23%
42%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ATM
0 - 2
OVI
72%
15%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
59%
19%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
HER
0 - 1
CAS
65%
17%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
OVI
2 - 0
HER
64%
16%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
HER
1 - 0
SEV
39%
23%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
DEP
3 - 1
HER
45%
22%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
HER
3 - 1
FCB
40%
22%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |