Atlético vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
13.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
64%
17%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
FCB
2 - 4
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1941 |
ATM
1 - 1
ATH
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
RMA
1 - 4
ATM
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
HER
1 - 0
SEV
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
VCF
6 - 0
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
HER
1 - 3
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 0
HER
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |