Atlético vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 1
ZAR
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
4 - 0
HER
58%
18%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
HER
1 - 2
ESP
47%
22%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 1
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SEV
1 - 1
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |