Atlético vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
VAD
0 - 1
ATM
43%
23%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ATM
0 - 1
FCB
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
OVI
1 - 0
ATM
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ATM
3 - 2
SEV
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
UDL
0 - 3
ATM
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
GRA
2 - 1
OSA
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ELC
1 - 0
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
GRA
3 - 2
ATH
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ZAR
6 - 2
GRA
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
GRA
1 - 0
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |