Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Atlético vs Granada 74 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.2%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 2
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAN
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
REC
0 - 0
ATM
32%
28%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
G74
1 - 2
ATM
11%
22%
67%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 0
GET
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Granada 74
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
CEL
4 - 1
G74
78%
15%
6%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
G74
1 - 2
RSO
14%
25%
61%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
G74
1 - 2
ATM
11%
22%
67%
|
46 | 90 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RCF
1 - 3
G74
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
G74
1 - 0
SPO
14%
24%
62%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | +1 |