Atlético vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATM
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 1
VAD
68%
19%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SEV
3 - 1
ATM
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
LIV
2 - 1
ATM
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 1
CDT
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
ARS
4 - 0
FUL
73%
17%
9%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
FUL
0 - 1
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FUL
3 - 2
WHU
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
FUL
2 - 1
HSV
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
EVE
2 - 1
FUL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |