Europa League 1/32
Global 1-1
Atlético vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
ATM
1 - 0
CAD
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
VCF
1 - 3
ATM
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1989 |
CEL
0 - 3
ATM
33%
27%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1989 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1989 |
ATM
3 - 0
MUR
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
FIO
1 - 0
LAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
FIO
0 - 0
GEN
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
FIO
1 - 1
COM
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 1
FIO
35%
30%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |