Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 0
MAL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VAD
3 - 1
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
ESP
0 - 1
OSA
54%
25%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ALB
2 - 1
ESP
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 0
SEV
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
0 - 2
ZAR
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |