Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
ATH
0 - 1
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
ATM
5 - 1
RSO
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
SLA
1 - 1
ATM
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 0
CEL
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATM
24%
29%
47%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 0
RSO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ZAR
3 - 3
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
BUR
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |