Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATH
68%
18%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
LEV
0 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ATM
2 - 0
MUR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ESP
0 - 0
FCB
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
BET
0 - 1
ESP
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 2
ZAR
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
VCF
3 - 1
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
ESP
5 - 1
OVI
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |