Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 6-7
Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 1
ATM
50%
21%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
ATH
1 - 3
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ATM
3 - 0
CEL
70%
15%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
62%
19%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 1
ATM
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1949 |
ESP
3 - 1
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 2
SAB
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |