Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
ATM
8 - 0
SAB
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
CAS
3 - 0
ATM
37%
22%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
ATM
1 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
HER
4 - 3
ATM
28%
23%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
ESP
0 - 1
SEV
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
SPO
1 - 1
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
GIM
1 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
ESP
5 - 3
GIM
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |