Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
ATH
3 - 1
ATM
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
ATM
2 - 2
MUR
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
OVI
4 - 0
ATM
49%
21%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
ATM
3 - 1
DEP
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
ATM
1 - 1
VCF
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
ESP
1 - 2
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
FCB
5 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
ESP
4 - 0
SEV
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
ESP
1 - 2
SAB
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |