Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
RCF
0 - 0
ATM
29%
22%
49%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 0
SPO
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATM
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 0
RCF
85%
9%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 1
SEV
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
ESP
3 - 0
BAR
79%
12%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
ATH
3 - 0
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 2
VCF
41%
23%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BAR
0 - 4
ESP
39%
23%
39%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |