Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 2
ATM
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ATM
6 - 2
RSO
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRA
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
SEV
4 - 2
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 2
DEP
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 0
GRA
62%
18%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SEV
1 - 2
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ESP
7 - 0
DEP
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 3
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 3
VCF
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |