Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
ATH
3 - 3
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
ATM
5 - 4
EUR
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
RAC
1 - 2
ATM
34%
20%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1929 |
ATM
0 - 3
RMA
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
45%
23%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
ARE
3 - 0
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
57%
20%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1929 |
RAC
1 - 1
ESP
33%
23%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
ESP
1 - 1
RSO
66%
18%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |