Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 6-8
Atlético vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
ESP
6 - 1
ATM
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1926 |
ATM
4 - 2
BET
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
BET
3 - 2
ATM
45%
23%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
ATM
4 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
ATM
3 - 1
BET
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
ESP
6 - 1
ATM
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
ISC
1 - 3
ESP
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
ESP
6 - 1
ISC
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
VCF
1 - 4
ESP
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |