Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-1
Atlético vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
20.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.8%
1-0
19%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
15%
3.7%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 5
ATM
20%
27%
53%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 0
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMA
22%
22%
57%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATM
26%
27%
48%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 1
QAR
79%
16%
5%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ELC
2 - 2
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MLL
2 - 0
ELC
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ELC
0 - 1
SDF
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
ELC
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ELC
2 - 1
CDE
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |