Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 9-2
Atlético vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
ATM
4 - 1
VCF
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ATM
5 - 2
CCF
87%
9%
5%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
CCF
1 - 3
ATM
40%
23%
38%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
ATM
4 - 0
SAB
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1960 |
MLL
0 - 1
ELC
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
ELC
1 - 0
MLL
81%
12%
8%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1960 |
ELC
6 - 4
BET
59%
20%
22%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
BET
2 - 2
ELC
76%
13%
10%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ELC
4 - 4
BET
57%
20%
22%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |