Champions League 1/16
Global 13-1
Atlético vs Drumcondra Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
4.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.3%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.2%
+8
2.9%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.8%
9-2
0.5%
10-3
0.1%
+7
5.4%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
3.1%
8-2
0.9%
9-3
0.2%
10-4
<0%
+6
9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
4.8%
7-2
1.6%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
6.3%
6-2
2.4%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.3%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
5.5%
3.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
ATM
2 - 0
OVI
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
RMA
4 - 0
ATM
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
RSO
2 - 4
ATM
40%
23%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |