Europa League 1/16
Global 5-2
Atlético vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
ATM
3 - 0
ALA
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
MLL
4 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1998 |
CSK
2 - 4
ATM
34%
25%
40%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
ATM
2 - 0
CDT
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
OVI
3 - 1
ATM
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
LPL
0 - 0
CSK
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1998 |
CSK
2 - 4
ATM
34%
25%
40%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
CSK
3 - 1
SEP
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
MET
1 - 0
CSK
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1998 |
CSK
1 - 0
SER
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |