Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Atlético vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
27%
26%
46%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
CRV
0 - 2
ATM
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
ATM
2 - 1
BET
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
CRV
0 - 2
ATM
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1985 |
CRV
3 - 1
LYN
99%
1%
1%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
LYN
2 - 2
CRV
2%
24%
74%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 2
CRV
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
CRV
2 - 0
FCA
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |