Atlético vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
ATM
2 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
OSA
2 - 2
ATM
46%
21%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ATM
4 - 2
RUN
50%
20%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
DEP
1 - 1
ATM
53%
20%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
ATM
2 - 0
SPO
54%
20%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAS
75%
14%
10%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 1
CEL
47%
22%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
SEV
4 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
12%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
OSA
1 - 2
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |