Atlético vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1931 |
OVI
6 - 2
ATM
38%
21%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
ATM
4 - 1
DEP
70%
15%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
ATM
1 - 2
VAD
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ATM
4 - 1
ISC
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
CEL
3 - 2
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 2
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
LOG
3 - 0
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 0
LOG
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 1
SEV
46%
23%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |