Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-9
Atlético vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ARE
2 - 1
ATM
53%
19%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 4
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 0
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
BAD
4 - 0
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
CAS
5 - 1
JUP
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
21%
23%
55%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
CAS
5 - 1
BAD
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |