Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Atlético vs Club Brugge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
HER
1 - 0
ATM
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
ATM
3 - 0
RAC
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
BRU
2 - 0
ATM
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CAD
2 - 1
ATM
30%
28%
43%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATM
50%
24%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
KSV
1 - 1
BRU
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
BRU
2 - 1
BEE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
BRU
2 - 0
ATM
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
KSK
2 - 2
BRU
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BRU
2 - 0
CHA
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |