Champions League Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Atlético vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
ELC
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GET
0 - 2
ATM
16%
25%
59%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
24%
23%
53%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATM
79%
13%
8%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
1 - 2
SUN
82%
12%
5%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
CHL
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
2 - 0
PSG
57%
22%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
3 - 0
STO
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 1
CHL
37%
25%
38%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |