Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Atlético vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
CAD
2 - 0
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
HER
2 - 2
ATM
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ATM
3 - 0
SEV
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
CEL
2 - 1
ABE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
HIB
0 - 5
CEL
32%
25%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
HIB
4 - 4
CEL
32%
23%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
CEL
1 - 1
GLA
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
CEL
7 - 0
BRE
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | -1 |